Amerexit

Author: Gary Hart

Great Britain was awash in immigrants, many from its former empire and therefore of darker color.  It was enmeshed in complex trade agreements that convinced those whose wages had stagnated that those agreements were profiting trading partners at their expense.  The bankers in the City of London were perceived as the elite whose children went to the best public schools and chartered the largest yachts in the Mediterranean.  The worst of it was the European Union whose bureaucrats were running everything.

Most of all, Britain was no longer great.  So, the British Government provided a referendum on whether to stay in or leave the European Union and in 2016 the Leavers carried the day.  Britain would be great again and possibly recapture its imperial status into the bargain.

It seems odd that few, if any, have seen the remarkable parallel between Great Britain and the United States since 2016.  It is all there.

An immigrant army is crossing our border daily spreading crime and disease.  Our economy is too constrained by trade agreements.  We are providing security for European and Asian countries who are not paying for it.  The elites in Washington, New York, and Los Angeles are getting everything and Americans in between are left out.  (How a lop-sided tax cut for the rich would fix that has never been explained.)  And our bureaucrats are in Washington not in Brussels.  They have formed a “deep state” that frustrates our Administration at every step.

So now we have our own Brexit.  Let’s call it Amerexit.  We’ll walk away from trade agreements and stimulate trade wars even at the expense of our own farmers and factory workers.  Who needs NATO or our European partnerships.  Toss the Iran nuclear agreement because we like the Saudis better and besides it was negotiated by…Barack Obama (hiss).  And it may also give the jack of all deals, Mr. Kushner, a chance for a sweet deal with the Saudis for nuclear reactors.

All these post-World War II agreements have done nothing but tie the mighty United States down.  Who needs allies.  Who needs cookie-pushing diplomats.  The world is just New York real estate on a bigger scale.  Our power will get us all the respect we need, and we’ll use it to make our country great again.

We’re America.  Get out of our way.

Britain has its Brexit and it’s a mess.  They can’t get out and they can’t stay in.  And worthy of the irony of the year award, the main sticking point turns out to be the Ireland-Northern Ireland border.  It was a hard border during the thirty-year Troubles, then soften with the Good Friday Agreement.  And things have been fine…up to now.  As part of “Great” Britain, Northern Ireland will follow its leader out the European door.  In the referendum, Northern Ireland voters voted to Remain.  But the Republic of Ireland is a member, and a profiting one, of the European Union.  Oh, boy!

The Leavers hadn’t thought of this.

And the ironies continue.  Amerexit is also about a border.  And a wall.  A “big, beautiful wall” promised by candidate Trump to his delirious “base” to stop the hoards of Mexican bandits from taking over our country.  Except, there are no hoards, the Mexican Government is not about to pay for the wall, as Trump promised, and he has turned his Party and our country into a political pretzel from which we can’t escape.

Winston Churchill is rolling over in his grave, as are Franklin Roosevelt and Harry Truman among others.

Amerexit is dismantling almost 75 years of patient alliance building with European democracies and other nations in collective security, manageable trade, freedom of movement, and shared values, including the GF and NATO, among others.  That’s a legacy for our children.

But, we are America.  Get out of our way.

[Addendum: Donald Trump’s depravity knows no bounds.  His rampant jealousy of John McCain rages on even after Senator McCain’s death.  A genuine hero, which Trump will never be, he had the courage and character that Trump will never have.  There must be a special place in hell for those whose bitterness even death cannot quench.]

8 Responses to “Amerexit”

  1. Neil McCarthy Says:

    I think the likely outcome on Brexit is stasis.

    Parliament cannot agree on a plan to govern leaving and it refuses to leave without a plan. The EU will probably grant a delay while asserting that it is holding Britain’s feet to the fire by demanding an answer on what the British plan to do with the delay (the answer is probably “nothing” but it will not be put that way). Britain will then meander on, not leaving and, therefore, as a de facto matter, remaining for some indeterminate period. This will go one for quite awhile, much longer, I predict, that anyone assumes at this point.

    The logic of this outcome is as follows. Most everyone in Britain knows that the macro costs to Britain of leaving will be very large. Britain’s GDP will go down and the “leavers” will be in even worse shape. The City of London will also take a hit. For this reason, half or more of the country does not want to leave and views delay as a way of ultimately staying. Meanwhile, the political elites, though scared to death of this possibility, are also either on record as in favor of leaving (many Conservatives, and many Laborites as well) or fear that part of the elecotrate that is. So they are doing what politicians do when faced with a Hobson’s choice, especially a choice their prior cowardice or ignorance created, namely, trying not to make it.

    This is probably a good idea. It buys time for the nativism to run its course on the one hand without killing the British economy on the other.

    “Amerexit” is a bit like Brexit in this regard. We have Trump and his most extreme acolytes proceeding in a “damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead” assault on NATO, the post WW II global order, Mueller, immigrants, the environment, facts and honesty and civility in general. Others (within and without the Adminstration) sometimes hold him back, as do the courts, the press and (sometimes) Congress. The hope is that we make it to January 20, 2021 without catastrophe and that, having been defeated, he then leaves.

    The unkown on Brexit is what, if anything, the EU will insist upon as Britain dawdles. The unknown on Amerexit is what the voters will do in November 2020.

    And these realties give the word “anxiety” meaning.

    I appreciate the irony of a would-be Brexit’s effect on Ireland. The notion that a form of unwashed British (and, to be clear, it is mostly English, not Scottish or Northern Irish) nativism could do for Ireland what 400 years of conflict could not is a bit delicious. But the current delay also puts that irony on hold as well. The Good Friday border is still functioning, there are no new customs houses or military guards on it, people are travelling back and forth without interference, and no referenda on uniting the whole of Ireland have been scheduled.

    Here’s a question for our host —

    Senator, were Brexit actually to take effect, do you think the Unionists in Northern Ireland would actually vote to leave Great Britain and become a part of the Republic of Ireland?

  2. Gary Hart Says:

    Neil: Haven’t seen any polls on it, but, since I believe generational politics is more important than most political pundits do, my guess is that older Unionists would vote strongly against and an unknown number of younger Protestants would join the Republicans and vote united Ireland. GH

  3. Paul G Says:

    ON A LIGHTER NOTE … 15 MINUTES CAN MAKE US A TALKING GEKKO!
    “It seems odd that few, if any, have seen the remarkable parallel between Great Britain and the United States since 2016.” – GH.

    Anglo culture may dominate all other European cultures descendant in Great America (see? we’re suddenly “great” again!); but most cultural program hosts are so used to this they don’t accent these parallels.

    For example, Stephen Colbert – whose excellent weekly guest lists appear overwhelmingly British for several years running – seemed visibly shocked for a fleeting episode – when he shared his sudden awakening to “Peppa Pig.” Enjoy!? https://www.facebook.com/colbertlateshow/videos/peppa-pig-is-corrupting-americas-youth/544465676064773/

    Time to demand an Amerexit vote, eh?

  4. Brian McCarthy Says:

    Senator,

    You must have read my mind. I’ve been meaning to broach the topic of Brexit on your blog as soon as you wrote anything even remotely connected to the UK—and I sure as hell wondered what you thought of DJT’s most recent comments about good Senator McCain. I’m delighted you tackled both at once.

    The foolishness of the Brexit vote in 2016 is daily topped by the foolishness of the British Tory government in attempting to implement it. The Speaker of the British House of Commons may be the only reasonable person left in the chamber as he ruled today that PM May cannot bring her twice-failed soft Brexit deal up for a third vote without significant changes. And the E.U. leadership has made it clear the offer they’ve made is the only offer on the table. Hard Brexit having been unofficially ruled out, what is left to do but hold a second referendum? Such monumentally important issues should not be punted to the general public in the first place—don’t we elect leaders in a representative democracy to make hard choices on complicated issues?—but since the British people voted for Brexit they must be the final arbiter in any decision to (hopefully) revoke it. The waffling of Labour’s Jeremy Corbin on the issue does not instill me with much confidence though, and the most anti-Brexit party, the Lib Dems, have few MPs and a few credibility issues.

    As an Irish dual citizen, and E.U. citizen by extension, I fear for the security of the Irish peace process if Brexit results in a hard border being reinstated in Ireland. I would very much welcome a more detailed blog from you elaborating on that, drawing on your experience as NI envoy, if you feel it is worthy of a separate post. You are uniquely qualified to speak on that issue, having held the post of NI envoy. Yes, I’m calling you out. Sorry.

    The obsession DJT has for disparaging Sen. McCain is, as you said, depraved. Meghan McCain more than adequately responded to his latest rantings, but I am glad you took up the issue as well. I truly wonder what will be said at Trump’s funeral and who will and won’t attend it. I can’t imagine anything on the scale of Sen. McCain’s.

    Sláinte!
    BCM

  5. Paul G Says:

    AMEREXIT, BREXIT, COREXIT?

    Tails like the Mercer family who wag America’s and Britain’s exit attempts from treaties and unions remain mostly hidden; but like corexit in oil, with deadly consequences, especially for ordinary workers and students.

    https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/01/02/2019/they-were-planning-stealing-election-explosive-new-tapes-reveal-cambridge-analytica

  6. John Dedie Says:

    We won the Cold War in 1991 but when Putin took power his goal was to change the outcome. He is doing a good job at it.

  7. Paul G Says:

    A BREXIT MIRROR: RUSSEXIT?

    “Victory” seems pyrrhic for those whose greed for power or vengeance is exceeded only by their vacuous sociopathy to “win at any cost” – even to the community’s future they claim to protect – such as UK vs IRL; US vs RUS.

    If the people’s voting power in these western countries is robbed by clever media colluding companies who share the same greed for power and vengeance as seemingly kind and righteous but vacuous officials, then who is “winning?”

    Just as Mercers benefitted from the anger vacuum of voters living in quiet desperation left by distracted or conflicted US and UK officials, Putin was the ultimate beneficiary of Black, Stone, Manafort, Atwater hidden robberies.

    A Russexit “victory?” Et tu, George I?

  8. Paul G Says:

    IMMIGRATION HYPOCRITE

    “Laws bereft of justice are the gateway to tyranny.”

    – David S. Glosser, MD.

    https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/08/13/stephen-miller-is-an-immigration-hypocrite-i-know-because-im-his-uncle-219351

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